Friday, September 14, 2007

Paulie's Picks, Belmont, 9/15/07

I'm still sore about last week. First, I picked five winners which paid a grand total of $35.40. If I had simply bet an equal amount to win on all my picks for the card, it would have represented a profit of 77%! I got too cute (as I always do) with exactas, trifectas, Pick 3's and so on. The thing is, I haven't learned my lesson and plan to make similar plays tomorrow. And the other thing about last week that I'm still sore about is the fact that my wife narrowly missed a Pick 6 worth $53,000-and-change.

I was going to take this weekend off but there are two races of note. The 9th race is the G1 Gazelle for three-year-old fillies, and the sensational Rags to Riches is making her first start since beating the boys in the Belmont Stakes on June 9th. She's only the third girl to win the Belmont in it's entire 139 year history - the last was Tanya in 1905, and the one before that was Ruthless in the very first running of the race in 1867.

The 4th race is a maiden-special that features the long-awaited debut of the most expensive untested racehorse in history. John Magnier of Coolmore Stud paid $16,000,000 for The Green Monkey at the 2006 Fasig-Tipton Calder selected sale. And in the year-and-half since then, the colt has logged no races and a handful or workouts, constantly returning to the bench with minor physical ailments. The Green Monkey's connections have chosen a pretty soft bunch for their horse's debut - I imagine it would be pretty embarrassing for a lot of ego-driven rich people if their solid gold pony comes in last (or even 2nd).

On with the show; here are Professor Paulie's picks for tomorrow's Belmont card:

1st race:
2 - Las Presse
4 - Jibboom
5 - Genuine Devotion

2nd race:
4 - Hedgefund Investor
3 - Commandeered
5 - Devereux

3rd race:
3 - Americanus
9 - Spirit of Gulch
4 - Executive Search

4th race
4 - The Green Monkey
3 - Roi Maudit
5 - Holla Bend

5th race:
7 - Metro Meteor
4 - Fez
1 - Mascot

6th race, The Matron (G2):
3 - Proud Spell
2 - Syriana's Song
6 - Armonk

7th race, The Noble Damsel Handicap (G3):
3 - Silver Charades
8 - Fantastic Shirl
10 - Pommes Frites

8th race, The Futurity (G2):
6 - Kodiak Kowboy
4 - The Leopard
3 - Tale of Ekati

9th race, The Gazelle (G1):
5 - Rags to Riches
1 - Lear's Princess
3 - Tough Tiz's Sis

10th race:
7 - Lightning Larry
6 - Gone Prospecting
4 - Secret Stocks

Tune in tomorrow night for results.