Friday, June 8, 2007

Paulie's Picks, Belmont, 6/9/07

Well, tomorrow's the biggest day of the year in New York racing: The Belmont Stakes. A few things have changed since I made my early pick for the race: Street Sense and Circular Quay are both out, which eliminates Curlin's chief rival and the best closer, respectively.

There are only seven horses in the race, and despite a couple of wild cards, it looks to be Curlin's for the taking. On paper, there are only two really credible opponents, but both have some pretty big asterisks. Hard Spun, 2nd in the Derby and 3rd in the Preakness, gets a new rider, but his front-running style puts him at a big disadvantage at a mile-and-a-half; I'm betting that he doesn't even land in the trifecta. Rags to Riches has the class and the right running style, but a filly hasn't beaten the boys in the Belmont Stakes since 1905. I don't think she'll win, but I'm pretty sure she'll hit the board.

Here are my picks for the whole card, which features a fistful of other classy graded stakes:

1st race:
2 - Lord Snowdon
5 - Executive Search
7 - Grand Champion

2nd race:
9 - Prom Party
8 - Risky Agenda
1 - Slewfoundmoney

3rd race:
4 - Hesanoldsalt
1 - A.P. Arrow
3 - Papi Chullo

4th race:
5 - Bird of play
9 - Smoky Chimney
10 - Defrereoftheheart

5th race:
7 - Meribel
11 - Fantastic Shirl
8 - Criminologist

6th race, The True North Handicap (G2):
5 - Bordanaro
1 - Dashboard Drummer
1a - Suave Jazz
2 - Council Member

7th race, The Just a Game (G2):
5 - Wait a While
2 - My Typhoon
1 - Take the Ribbon

8th race, The Woody Stephens Breeders' Cup (G2):
2 - Deadly Dealer
8 - Street Magician
3 - Stormello

9th race, The Acorn (G1):
3 - Christmas Kid
1 - Dream Rush
6 - Boca Grande

10th race, The Manhattan Handicap (G1):
2 - English Channel
7 - Better Talk Now
3 - Sky Conqueror

11th race, The Belmont Stakes (G1):
3 - Curlin
7 - Rags to Riches
1 - Imawildandcrazyguy

12th race:
2 - Sweet Corredor
5 - Quiet Rendition
9 - Heavenly Anna

13th race:
9 - Jackie's Punt
3 - Stately Pegasus
10 - Bachelornumberone

Tune in tomorrow night for results.